Think you know what you know?

Dunning-Kruger Derby is a daily confidence calibration game. Rate your certainty before you answer. See exactly where your knowledge ends and your overconfidence begins.

Built on peer-reviewed neuroscience. Designed to humble you gently.

Competence Confidence Mount Stupid ⚑ Valley of Despair Slope of Enlightenment

How It Works

Step 1

Rate Your Confidence

Before you see the answer options, you commit to a confidence level from 0 to 100%. No hedging.

Step 2

Answer the Question

Questions are designed to trigger overconfidence. Trivia you think you know. Facts that feel familiar. Statistics that fool everyone.

Step 3

See the Gap

Your confidence versus your accuracy, visualized in real time. This is where the Dunning-Kruger effect becomes personal.

Not just a trivia game. A calibration tool.

Dunning-Kruger Derby is built on decades of research into metacognition... our ability to think about our own thinking. The game uses a technique called confidence calibration, originally developed in forecasting research and cognitive psychology, to measure not just what you know... but how accurately you know what you know.

Metacognition

The brain's ability to monitor its own knowledge is a learnable skill. Most of us have never been given the tools to practice it.

Confidence Calibration

Measured using the Brier score... the same method used to evaluate weather forecasters and intelligence analysts. A well-calibrated mind is a more effective mind.

The Dunning-Kruger Effect

First documented by Kruger & Dunning (1999) at Cornell. People with limited knowledge in a domain systematically overestimate their competence. Awareness is the first step out.

The Research

You, probably.

The Curious

You've always suspected you might know less than you think. Now you can find out... one question at a time.

The Competitive

Your calibration score is public. Your friends' calibration scores are public. There is a leaderboard. You have been warned.

The Professional

Decision-makers, analysts, forecasters, and leaders... anyone whose job depends on knowing the limits of their own knowledge.

Built by a neuroscientist who learned to code.

Shahin Zangenehpour, founder of 98%Chimp

Shahin Zangenehpour spent years studying the brain at McGill University... from the molecular architecture of cortical neurons to the systems-level dynamics of multisensory integration, using molecular markers, behavioural methods, and neuroimaging (PET and fMRI). His postdoctoral work at the Montreal Neurological Institute was supervised by Robert Zatorre, one of the world's leading auditory neuroscientists.

Then he learned to code. Not as a career change... as a change of substrate. The same questions about how information systems process, integrate, and make meaning from the world... just applied to different materials.

Dunning-Kruger Derby is where those two careers converge. The science is real. The game is real. The humbling is optional but inevitable.

Learn more about 98%Chimp and the full product portfolio →

Be among the first to discover your overconfidence.

DK Derby launches soon on iOS. Join the early access list and we'll notify you the moment it's available.

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